Friday, July 30, 2010

Assuming they all live until 70, how much oil/gasoline will be used by the 200,000+ humans born today?

Depends on where they are born. People in Africa living in poverty and starving to death don't use any.





In America the average is one million BTU's per person per day.





Splitting the difference, 100,000 people will use one million BTU's per day from birth until death.





So these people will use 100 billion BTU's per day.





Living 70 years is 365.25 * 70 = 25,568 days.





Figure on 2.56 E+15 BTU's total.





Of this total, about 40% in America is from oil.





So 1 E+15 is an estimate = 1 quintillion BTU's per person over their lifetime.





One barrel of oil = 42 U.S. gallons = 5,800,000 Btu





So 176,000,000 barrels of oil





The US consumes about 20 million barrels of oil per day. So about nine days of oil usage by the USA would cover all these people.Assuming they all live until 70, how much oil/gasoline will be used by the 200,000+ humans born today?
I'm hoping that 80% of todays birthed, can use renewable energy sources. Assuming that they do not, my guess would be 20,000 gal per yr.Assuming they all live until 70, how much oil/gasoline will be used by the 200,000+ humans born today?
Good to the last drop.
I don't know. Too much, I suppose.
If they all lived in the west and consumed 50litres / week after the age of 18 until they were 70 that makes 50*52*52 person thats 135,200 litres * 200,000 = 27,040,000,000


if the average litres/week was 100 then it might be 54bn litres. but burning carbon fuels like that might be illegal in 70 years.

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